iPhone OS 3 drops Friday June 5?

Update: June 8 – Guess not! 🙂 OS 3 drops June 17.

Just some Tuesday morning conjecture.

After I updated the our Macs to iTunes 8.2 last night and synced the iPhones, I noticed that the ‘next check’ for iphone software updates is June 5. It seems to me that normally the ‘next check’ goes out a couple weeks at least, so based on this and some practical matters regarding Monday’s Keynote, here’s my theory.

iPhone OS 3.0 drops Friday. Apple then basically owns the Friday news cycle with the new features in OS 3.0. Palm Pre launches Saturday – but weekends are rough for news, so Palm will get press, but reporters will have valid comparisons to make between the Pre’s Web OS and the iPhone OS.

WWDC Keynote is Monday – this again lets Apple own the Monday/Tuesday news cycle. I predict the keynote will cover two things, Snow Leopard and new iPhone/iPod hardware with a mid to late-June, early July release.

This has the result of really taking the wind out of Palm’s sails and gets Apple through a weekend where some users will be tempted to switch to a Pre.

With the new iPhone hardware rumors coming fast and furious, I’m figuring that OS 3 has already gone gold and is the hands of manufacturers now for new iPhone assembly. So why not drop it before Monday? I don’t see Apple wasting part of a Keynote re-hashing iPhone 3.0 features they went over in the ‘Sneak Preview’. It’s a developer conference after all and they want to talk about Snow Leopard and reasons that you “need” to upgrade from Leopard.